It's true - many changes have already happened, no matter who wins.
Is scaling the only problem you see with Dean? I think they learn fast on his team, and it will be intriguing to watch the campaign approach the new hurdles. 'The Doctor' is the best show on the road right now.
Gary Santoro |
October 12, 2003 07:34 PM
I see scaling as being Dean's main problem. Personally the problem I have with him is that he hasn't convinced me he can win a majority of the electorate. The angry bit is starting to wear thin on me too.
My gut has been telling Dean is not pacing himself properly either. Has been for a long time. He's sprinting early often and hard. Can he hold it up? Seems to have slowed down of late. If he can maintain that energy level of the early summer for another year then I think he's got a great shot. But if he and his supporters run out of steam he's going down big time...
October 12, 2003 09:22 PM
To the Honorable W. Blaze:
I'm not sure if I buy into the idea that Dean will burn out. He's a key player because his message has gotten more attractive with time. As an aside, I believe he's mellowing his tone a little.
I like Wes Clark, but he wasn't around when I was looking for voices to stand up to Bush months ago. Now it's easy to criticize Bush, even fashionable!
Clark received lots of publicity from the major media for 2 weeks, but I'm not sure he's a power among Democratic primary voters. In addition, he's never been elected to a public office or balanced a state budget.
I honestly don't think Dean is the ideal candidate, but he knew the war was half-baked at the beginning and wasted no time in telling people.
51% is a realistic number for Dean next year. Iraq is now a 5+ year problem. The loss of life is an outrage. If Dean wins the nomination, he'll be running against an administration that has proven itself unfit to govern.
October 13, 2003 04:11 AM
I'm not saying he's going to burn out, just that its a threat. There is some stuff to like about Dean, but I'm not sold yet, its wait and see for me. Plus I'm an independent, can't even vote in primaries...
October 13, 2003 04:22 PM
I'm an Independent too. I'm thinking of changing to (D) for a short while so I can vote in the Primary here in Arizona. It's somewhat of a dilemma for me, because I don't like the two party system. I may just sit and watch until Nov. 2004.
You're right, it is early - have to wait and see how things go.
Gary Santoro |
October 13, 2003 05:45 PM
I think Dean has a fair chance: He's this year's Clean Gene, with massive grassroots appeal. He's an unusually intelligent small-state governor (shades of Bill Clinton). He may just be able to pull it off.
Here's an alternative scenario that seems sort of plausible, though: With Bush floundering in the polls, Hillary enters late in the race. Dean is by then looking shaky in the "red states". Hillary's closing momentum makes him a spent force. Hillary is familiar, reassuring to traditional and boomer dems, gets a fair amouunt of mileage out of her association with Bill. And isn't it about time we elected a woman?
Meanwhile, Clark is still looking strong but not like a winner. He signs on as VP. A perfect balance for the ticket. The military hates the Clintons? They won't mind the general.
However, Bush cleans their clock in the general election. Especially if he dumps Cheney for Condi.
October 16, 2003 04:17 AM
October 16, 2003 04:18 AM
THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX!
Dean AND Clark
The Dream Team
January 9, 2004 05:00 PM